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Political commentators have reliably been wrong this election season. We take a look at why pundits make bad predictions, and why they probably won't stop. (episode)
If political prognostication is usually so wrong, why do we keep listening? And what makes a good forecaster, anyway?
FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver crunched the numbers and found Trump's success was extremely unlikely. He wasn't wrong, and yet here we are. So why is this election so unpredictable?
Pundits often rely on the amount of money candidates have raised to predict whether they'll win. It's not that simple.
What if the will of the electorate could be divined without polling and pundit guesswork? There may be a way.
Yes, this election year has been particularly unpredictable, but that alone doesn't let the media off the hook. After all, they're always wrong! Why? That's a bit more complicated.
Looking back on the impossible election and catastrophic reign of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States. Adapted from the article by Jon Lovett for The Atlantic.